The Springboks are looking to regain their pride and retain the Nelson Mandela Plate
After 4 consecutive losses the Boks take on the Wallabies at Loftus with plenty to play for.
There are records to keep in tact, the Nelson Mandela plate, and the Tri-Nations wooden spoon at stake.
Normally I would be confident, especially on the highveld, but the Boks are in a dark place right now, and may only be spared by the fact this Wallaby side is very average.
MILESTONES
The 70th Test match between the two sides, and their 33rd Vodacom Tri-Nations match with South Africa leading 41-28, and 17-14 respectively.
Since 1992 that record stands at 21-19 to Australia.
Victor Matfield becomes the 3rd South African to reach 100 test caps, and the 15th player of all time to do so.
His 41st Tri-Nations match makes him the 2nd highest capped player in the torunament (41 with George Smith) behind George Gegan (48).
The Boks have played the Wallabies 4 times at Loftus, for 4 wins and an average winning score of 29-14.
The Wallabies have only ever won twice on the highveld, 1933 in Bloemfontein, and 1963 at Ellis Park.
The Springboks have lost just 2 of their last 10 tests at the ground, both times to the All Blacks (2003 and 2006).
John Smit leads the side for the 75th time, and for the 27th time in the Tri-Nations making him the most capped cpatin in the competition.
Jaque Fourie becomes the first Springbok to play 50 tests as a centre.
If John Smit scores a try, he will be equal the Springbok try scoring record for hookers in a test match, held by James Dalton and Bismarck du Plessis (5).
Bryan Habana will become the most capped Springbok wing (63). He is currently tied for the most Springbok test tries (38) with Joost van der Westhuizen.
Pierre Spies needs 1 more try to becoming the leading try scorer as a Springbok eighth man that he holds with Gary Teichmann, Bob Skinstad and Joe van Niekerk (6)
Referee Alain Rolland of Ireland will officiate South Africa for the 12th time, the joint highest with Paddy O’Brien (New Zealand).
TEAM SELECTION
Springbok coack Peter de Villiers said that his side was selected with the challenge posed by the Wallabies, and not the defeat to the All Blacks.
I believe his hypocrisy in selecting sides has once again been exposed. The pack remains the same. The two standouts from last week, Flip van der Merwe retaining their positions.
van der Merwe was under pressure from Danie Rossouw, whilst Smith has been under an injury cloud all week with an abdominal strain.
The lack of a fetcher flank is interesting, given de Villiers praise of Wallaby flank David Pocock. Francois Louw has been discarded from the bench with Ryan Kankowski taking his place.
Of Kankowski, de Villiers said “He played well for the Sharks last week and we need his physicality and his pace.”
Whilst I believe the Bok problems start from the tight five who aren’t dominating, it’s the backline changes that I find interesting.
Francois Hougaard deservedly retains his spot, but it’s the dropping of Juan de Jongh and Gio Aplon for Jaque Fourie and Francois Steyn that I find interesting.
de Jongh and Aplon are small guys, and there is a perception, even within the Springbok camp, that they are too small.
Both were defensively brilliant agains the All Blacks, and had limited opportunities on attack.
Fourie has been average at best this year, and was suspended for a spear tackle after the clash against Australia in Brisbane. de Villiers could have sent a strong message to his squad by not selecting Fourie for this match, and in de Jongh he may even have a better player.
Francois Steyn is a popular choice, but I still think his long range goal kicking doesn’t cover up enough of his weaknesses to be warranted.
Not the best Springbok side, but certainly one still capable of doing the business with a conservative game plan if the Aussies can’t match the Boks up front or take their chances successfully.
PREDICTION
The Boks have been predicatable only by the poor performances so far this year.
With such a proud record agains the Wallabies both at Loftus and on the highveld, one would expect the Boks to win in the normal course of events, but they haven’t been playing like their World Champion status deserves.
Their saving grace is that this is one of the worst Australian sides of the professional era. For that reason it is hard to predict a winner.
At Loftus you would expect the Boks to win. However it depends just what the Wallabies bring to the party.
If the Aussies can hold the ball, run the Boks wide and expose the lack of a fetcher flank, they are a chance.
For the Boks to win, they’ll have to hope the kick chase brings early results to allow some confidence to attack with ball in hand, else they won’t score tries.
It will be an intruiging clash of styles, and the thing that may save the Boks is a fierce home crowd, the desperation of not suffering 5 consecutive defeats and the lack of confidence the Wallabies have at altitude.
Boks by 8…but i’m not very confident!
Go Bokke Go!
Springboks:
1. Gurtho Steenkamp
2. John Smit (c)
3. Jannie du Plessis
4. Flip van der Merwe
5. Victor Matfield
6. Schalk Burger
7. Juan Smith
8. Pierre Spies
9. Francois Hougaard
10. Morne Steyn
11. Bryan Habana
12. Jean de Villiers
13. Juan de Jongh
14. JP Pietersen
15. Gio Aplon
16. Chiliboy Ralepelle
17. CJ van der Linde
18. Danie Rossouw
19. Francois Louw
20. Ricky Januarie
21. Butch James
22. Wynand Olivier
The Wallabies:
1. Benn Robinson
2. Saia Faingaa
3. Salesi Ma’afu
4. Dean Mumm
5. Nathan Sharpe
6. Rocky Elsom (c)
7. David Pocock
8. Richard Brown
9. Will Genia
10. Quade Cooper
11. Drew Mitchell
12. Matt Giteau
13. Adam Ashley-Cooper
14. James O’Connor
15. Kurtley Beale
16. Stephen Moore
17. James Slipper
18. Ben McCalman
19. Scott Higginbotham
20. Luke Burgess
21. Berrick Barnes
22. Anthony Faingaa
Referee: Alain Rolland (Ireland)