The Springbok’s year will be defined by whether they can beat England at Twickenham on Saturday.
The Boks have not enjoyed a succesful year. There is a small opportunity to regain some pride against England in their last grand slam test. Whilst it won’t fix the deeper problems, as the last test of the year, it may just define how the season will be viewed.
A win in the last game of the year often takes the edge off the critics. Regardless of the result the coaching staff have much to face up to, but a win may just save their jobs!
A return of 3 from 4 may be enough to see them complete their contract at the World Cup next year, whereas a loss force SARU to give them the boot as the results have been substandard and unnacceptable all year.
THE BOKS ARE UNDERDOGS?
The Boks have tried to talk England up this week and appear to want the underdog status. For me it’s a sign that the Boks are lacking confidence and belief.
As World Champions, you should not fear anyside, you certainly shouldn’t fear losing or feel under pressure as you build towards defending your title. Clearly the heat is mountingon the Boks, and a whole heap of irrational thoughts are starting to surface.
Earlier this week Jean de Villiers said, “For the players it’s about regaining lost pride now. A lot of people are writing us off. The players will be the first to admit that it was disappointing. A win over England will go a long way to fixing it, but we will have to play well.”
It should not matter what others think, but what the players believe. The fact they are affected by others writing them off tells me this side has lost its edge.
ENGLAND HAVE THE RIGHT ATTITUDE
The Poms appear the mentally stronger of the two sides. English forward Tom Croft say’s they respect the Boks, but aren’t placing the World Champions on a pedestal.
“If you start thinking (the Boks) not quite the team they used to be, that’s where you will definitely slip up. You have to have respect for them off the pitch but as soon as you cross that whitewash, it’s you versus them and if you give them that respect on the pitch, they will get the upper hand” said Croft.
The English appear settled, quietly confident and reslishing the challenge of playing the Boks. They aren’t placing unnecessary demands or pressure on themselves, rather they just want to improve their game and come away with a win.
In my mind, they are in a good head space, in comparison with a disorganised Bok side. Worringly does this not appear to have shades of 2002 written all over it?
CONDITIONS
The weather forecast is not great with extreme cold and snow forecast for London.
It’s been the Boks highlighting the weather and how it may affect them. Once again they just need to focus on whatever conditions are presented to them and get on with it. It’s the same for both teams.
TEAM SELECTION
The Boks have made just 2 changes to the side that lost so dismally to Scotland. Pierre Spies for Ryan Kankowski is an expected change, and the pack is still a very formidable unit despite last week’s result.
The swop of Ruan Pienaar for Francois Hougaard is a puzzling one. Pienaar has more experience, but surely Div needs to see what he can do, and last weeks test where he was also suffering from the flu surely doesn’t warrant a demotion to the bench?
Where are the opportunities that Peter de Villiers talked about?
Meanwhile poor Patrick Lambie and Willem Alberts are likely to be thrust on again in the second half, without really having a chance to show what they can do, especially if the game is tight.
PREDICTION
The Boks are always stronger when they are the underdogs. They’ve not hit their straps all tour, whereas England are steadily getting better.
If the Poms can match the Boks upfront, I believe they may have more nous than we do in the backs. The boring Bok pattern is not a recipe for success, and if the Boks once again try not to lose, rather than striving to win, it’ll hurt them.
Even though the Boks smashed England at Twickenham in their last encounter, I think the Poms by 8.
Springboks:
1. Tendai Mtawarira
2. Bismark du Plessis
3. Jannie du Plessis
4. Bakkies Botha
5. Victor Matfield (c)
6. Deon Stegmann
7. Juan Smith
8. Pierre Spies
9. Ruan Pienaar
10. Morne Steyn
11. Lwazi Mvovo
12. Jean de Villiers
13. Francois Steyn
14. Gio Aplon
15. Zane Kirchner
16. Adriaan Strauss
17. CJ van der Linde
18. Flip van der Merwe
19. Willem Alberts
20. Francois Hougaard
21. Patrick Lambie
22. Adrian Jacobs
England:
1. Andrew Sheridan
2. Dylan Hartley
3. Dan Cole
4. Courtney Lawes
5. Tom Palmer
6. Tom Croft
7. Lewis Moody
8. Nick Easter (c)
9. Ben Youngs
10. Toby Flood
11. Mark Cueto
12. Shontayne Hape
13. Mike Tindall
14. Chris Ashton
15. Ben Foden
16. Steve Thompson
17. Matt Banahan
18. Danny Care
19. Hendre Fourie
20. David Wilson
21. Simon Shaw
22. Charlie Hodgson
PREVIOUS RESULTS
| Nov 2008 |
Springboks 42 |
England 6 |
Twickenham |
| Oct 2007 |
Springboks 15 |
England 6 |
RWC final Stade de France, Paris |
| Sept 2007 |
Springboks 36 |
England 0 |
RWC Stade de France, Paris |
| June 2007 |
Springboks 55 |
England 22 |
Loftus Versfeld |
| May 2007 |
Springboks 58 |
England 10 |
Free State Stadium, Bloemfontein |
| Nov 2006 |
Springboks 25 |
England 14 |
Twickenham |
| Nov 2006 |
Springboks 21 |
England 23 |
Twickenham |
| Nov 2004 |
Springboks 16 |
England 32 |
Twickenham |
| Oct 2003 |
Springboks 6 |
England 25 |
RWC Subiaco Oval, Perth |
| Nov 2002 |
Springboks 53 |
England 3 |
Twickenham |
| Nov 2001 |
Springboks 9 |
England 29 |
Twickenham |
| Dec 2000 |
Springboks 17 |
England 25 |
Twickenham |
| June 2000 |
Springboks 22 |
England 27 |
Free State Stadium, Bloemfontein |
| June 2000 |
Springboks 18 |
England 13 |
Loftus Versfeld |
Overall the 2 countries have played 31 times. The Boks have won on 18 occasions, and England 12, with 1 draw which was in their first ever test.
Three is an interesting pattern of victories between the 2 countries, with 1 side tending to dominate for multiple matches. The Boks have won the past 6 encounters, and England won the 7 prior to that.
Can the Boks match the longest winning streak between the 2 sides?
AVERAGE POINTS
| All Venues |
Springboks 21 |
England 15 |
| In England |
Springboks 15 |
England 16 |
MILESTONES
Morne Steyn (311) will become the second highest points scorer in the history of test rugby for South Africa if he scores two points on Saturday, moving ahead of Naas Botha (312).
Morne Steyn is the second highest scorer in test match rugby in 2010 with 174 points. Steyn is 8 points behind Dan Carter (182).
Victor Matfield and Bakkies Botha hold the record for the number of international test appearances as a second row combination. This will be the 60th time they have played together for South Africa, having won 44 and lost 15.
The Springboks can equal the English record between the 2 countries of 7 consecutive matches if they win on Saturday.
This will be the 18th time the two teams have played each other in London, with the Boks winning eight, drawing one and losing eight.
South Africa have played 17 matches at Twickenham (includes a 27-21 loss to Australia in the Semi Finals of the 1999 Rugby World Cup). Of those 17 matches, South Africa have won 8 and lost 9.
England have won 11 out of 24 matches played since Matrin Johnson became team manager in July 2008, with two wins and seven defeats against Tri-Nations opposition.
South Africa have won 15 out of 19 matches played against northern hemisphere opposition under Peter de Villiers. The three defeats have been to the British and Irish Lions in 2009, France (2009), Ireland (2009) and Scotland (2010).
Willem Alberts scored the Springboks 100th try (against Scotland last weekend) in 38 matches played since de Villiers became coach in 2008.
George Clancy of Ireland will referee his third match involving South Africa. Previosuly he was in charge when the Boks won 26-0 win over Italy in June 2008, and in July 2010 when the Boks lost 30-13 to Australia in Brisbane, when two Springbok players were on the receiving end of yellow cards.